vs

Vega

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Vitality easing · delivery at riskExport ↗
Root Index
60.3
STRONG

Vega's delivery is at risk. Vitality has been declining, and the model expects delivery to follow.

Velocity is carrying the score at Strong. Vitality has eased for several periods, the earliest signal delivery could follow.

↑ Velocitystrong
↓ Vitalityeasing
~$2-5k/momodeled, strengthening with data
Engine-grounded. The numbers stay engine-owned.
The “x” · Vitality is leading a predicted decline
● Vitality ◂LEADSVelocityQualityImpact▬ forecast uncertaintysolid = measured · dashed = modeled
22436384ACTUALFORECAST-7w-5w-3w-1w+1w+3w
Vitality broke away from delivery 6w ago. History says delivery follows within about 4 weeks, and the forecast puts roughly ~$2-5k/mo of delivery at risk (modeled, strengthening with data).
Vitality is leading delivery down, ~$2-5k/mo, modeled, strengthening with data. Open the case and protect the team’s time.Act →

Insight & recommendations

engine-grounded

Vega's delivery still reads Strong on Velocity and Strong on Quality — but Vitality has fallen to 47.1 (developing), Headroom is 33.3 and burnout risk is 58.2. Because Vitality leads the other three roots, the “x” projects Velocity, Quality and Impact will follow within 4 weeks — ~−$3,514/mo of modeled margin exposure.

What you could do · starting points

  • Protect focus time now — utilization is averaging 93%, with 2 people over capacity.
  • Rebalance or defer incoming demand before the slip reaches delivery — act on the leading signal, not the lagging one.
  • Take the quantified case upward: ~−$3,514/mo, 4 weeks ahead, to advocate for relief or headcount.

Drafted from the engine’s numbers — starting points, not conclusions. Live AI narrative arrives with the AI layer; every figure here traces to the engine.